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Arknomics

Training · PE-1 · Lesson 08 of 08

The modeling test

The rule

A take-home or on-site model tests whether you build something a colleague could audit in ten minutes. Speed matters, but structure matters more.

Formats

Modelling tests range from a one-hour paper LBO, to a two-to-three-hour on-site Excel model from a short prompt, to a multi-day take-home case with a presentation. Know which you face before you start practising.

  • ·Paper LBO: no computer, 10–30 minutes.
  • ·Timed model: 1–3 hours, blank sheet.
  • ·Take-home case: 2–7 days, model plus investment memo.

Building under time pressure

Read the full prompt first and sketch the structure before typing. Build assumptions, then sources and uses, then the operating model, debt schedule, returns and sensitivity. Prioritise a complete, balancing model over a beautiful partial one.

Sources & uses
Purchase enterprise value
$600m
Fees and expenses
$20m
Total uses
$620m
Senior debt (4.0x EBITDA $75m)
$300m
Subordinated debt (1.0x)
$75m
Sponsor equity
$245m

The debt schedule

Model each tranche separately with interest rates, mandatory amortisation and a cash sweep that uses excess cash to repay senior debt first. Use average balances for interest if allowed, with a circularity switch. Check that cash never goes negative.

Outputs and sensitivities

Present IRR and MOIC with sensitivity tables to entry multiple, exit multiple and EBITDA growth. Add a credit summary showing leverage and coverage each year. The reader should see at a glance whether the deal works and what it depends on.

The memo or presentation

For take-home cases, write a short recommendation: invest or not, at what price, with key reasons, risks and diligence questions. Clear thinking in the memo often matters more than modelling flourishes.

Hold onto this

  • ·Assumptions on one tab, drivers not hard-coded, and a clean debt schedule with a cash sweep.
  • ·Include returns output, sensitivity tables, and a check row that proves the model balances.
  • ·State your exit assumption and the one risk that would break the deal.

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Education, not financial advice. Figures may be simplified for illustration.

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